← Atlas of Organizational Intelligence

Encyclopedia directory

Scenario Planning

Search the complete atlas or narrow it by entry type, topic, and evidence state.

Clear

Filtered view

1 entry

Scenario Planning

WorkClaim Cited

The Fifth Discipline

Senge's learning organization becomes concrete in Royal Dutch/Shell's attempt to replace a single oil forecast with multiple scenarios before the 1973 shock. The episode shows managers rehearsing futures that challenged settled assumptions, but later histories also expose what the celebrated learning story missed: macroeconomic consequences, the durability of producer power, and perspectives outside the oil company. The book's five disciplines are therefore best read as an intervention program, not an empirically verified organizational type.